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MATCHUPS · WEEK 10

Bills bring 7-1 record into Week 10 visit to Jets

Buffalo has allowed just 16 points over its past two games, while New York looks to rebound from three straight losses.

Buffalo arrives with the stronger form

The Buffalo Bills enter Week 10 at 7-1, pairing a productive offense with two recent defensive performances that give the 2-7 New York Jets a difficult matchup. Kickoff at MetLife Stadium is set for Sunday, Nov. 15, at 1 p.m. ET. Buffalo has scored 256 points and allowed 187, a plus-69 differential through eight games. New York has scored 182 and surrendered 223, leaving the Jets at minus-41 through nine.

Recent results sharpen the contrast

The Bills beat Minnesota 23-6 on the road in Week 9 after defeating Baltimore 36-10 in Week 8. Across those two victories, Buffalo outscored its opponents 59-16. Its other listed recent result was a 33-30 road win over Las Vegas in Week 6. The Jets lost 35-12 at Kansas City in Week 9, following home losses of 38-33 to Las Vegas and 28-25 to Miami. New York scored 58 points across the two closer defeats before falling to 12 against the Chiefs. Returning to that higher level of scoring would help against a Buffalo team averaging 32 points per game.

Allen and Cook lead the fantasy outlook

Josh Allen carries the matchup’s highest PPR projection at 24.3 points, followed by James Cook III at 20.5. They offer Buffalo’s clearest projected fantasy advantages: Jets quarterback Geno Smith is projected for 14.8, while running back Breece Hall sits at 12.1. The leading receivers are more closely grouped. DJ Moore’s 13.3-point projection narrowly tops Garrett Wilson’s 12.7. Adonai Mitchell is projected for 10.3, just ahead of Khalil Shakir at 10.2, leaving little separation between those two receiving options on the projection board. Buffalo kicker Tyler Bass is projected for 11.2 points, compared with 9.9 for New York’s Jason Sanders. The projections favor the Bills’ top quarterback and running back options most clearly, while the receiver comparisons are considerably tighter.